Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 5.537178 6.328000 7.155131 8.081537 9.086969 10.142062 11.329827
2024-12-22 4.420811 5.543195 6.788257 8.258207 9.932673 11.767783 13.917903
2024-12-29 3.771124 5.137867 6.733704 8.702109 11.032527 13.672979 16.859831
2025-01-05 3.232289 4.762534 6.635513 9.036817 11.974730 15.396404 19.626018
2025-01-12 2.735418 4.355034 6.429656 9.186760 12.661298 16.806871 22.037509
2025-01-19 2.257087 3.895313 6.092991 9.118167 13.039299 17.823763 23.974288
2025-01-26 1.951062 3.624191 5.962911 9.281092 13.684521 19.157123 26.298956
2025-02-02 1.692326 3.381051 5.837366 9.422635 14.284249 20.426950 28.550937
2025-02-09 1.387650 3.019404 5.503276 9.244361 14.436905 21.113830 30.068545
2025-02-16 1.133848 2.697462 5.190259 9.062386 14.558303 21.743014 31.504551
2025-02-23 0.962718 2.488029 5.023405 9.069266 14.922516 22.681355 33.337110
2025-03-02 0.802070 2.268547 4.816389 8.996340 15.160946 23.445774 34.944728
2025-03-09 0.734127 2.221649 4.890986 9.357401 16.033537 25.091433 37.754458
2025-03-16 0.624066 2.068442 4.772630 9.412722 16.466465 26.150205 39.809051
2025-03-23 0.580085 2.049981 4.883346 9.827881 17.428623 27.943993 42.861560
2025-03-30 0.528595 2.004673 4.940744 10.156663 18.268192 29.579882 45.722374
2025-04-06 0.460364 1.904862 4.888774 10.301939 18.834234 30.841892 48.093589
2025-04-13 0.376648 1.744391 4.706656 10.219439 19.049842 31.612181 49.804441
2025-04-20 0.329349 1.669369 4.679954 10.391480 19.650194 32.926854 52.264946
2025-04-27 0.286140 1.594115 4.644251 10.542382 20.216110 34.195198 54.670197
2025-05-04 0.222733 1.434115 4.418319 10.348836 20.237189 34.680645 55.999493
2025-05-11 0.170284 1.286536 4.199619 10.151717 20.240183 35.132429 57.279698
2025-05-18 0.138119 1.198192 4.099087 10.158926 20.562896 36.047189 59.208689